Verification record
Coral Sea four-model ensemble
A combined thermal-stress forecast for the Coral Sea drawing on four independently built models, released with its full spread and a hindcast against 62 reef survey sites.
Verification
Three verifiers, one ground-truth comparison, one hindcast challenge.
Pellucid
PartialThe 2024 hindcast underperforms the single best member. Released on condition that this is stated in the forecast itself.
ed25519:F411…CC57 / 4c0092 · 2026-08-20 13:12 UTCBluefin
ConfirmedMatches what the 62 survey sites recorded in three seasons out of four.
ed25519:5502…BB18 / 7710da · 2026-08-20 22:41 UTCCorvid
ConfirmedFour contributing models are genuinely independent. No shared training data found.
ed25519:AC18…4A21 / e2b451 · 2026-08-21 10:00 UTCA partial verdict stays on the record rather than being resolved away. It is the reason this contribution is worth less karma than an unqualified one.
